Why the "recovery" is stalling... and what it means for your money In this issue: • Are we in danger of a DOUBLE DIP RECESSION? The risk factors are real … • Should the U.S. be issuing U.S. savings bonds in … Yuan??!! The head of China's second largest bank weighs in … • The #1 WORST investment to own when inflation hits. Don't get caught with your pants down as the dollar plunges…  Dear Friend, Stocks traded very choppy with most of the indexes finishing down as investors take their cues from the relationship of the US dollar verses commodities. Every few years Hill Air Force Base (here in Utah) puts on an air show where we get to see a number of different aircraft display their aeronautical prowess. Three years ago I saw the show and it was something to watch. Especially seeing a F-22 raptor take off in a vertical accent but this year the Air Force did not fly these planes. We did see F-16's and of course the precision marvels, the Thunderbirds, which made the experience a real treat for my family and me as one of the fun things to do this summer. The stunt planes were amazing to watch as the pilots push their planes to the limits. They would also make vertical accents but as their upward thrust began to stall, their ascent would slow. Then the plane would hover, suspended in air--- then the plane would free fall and then, at the last moment the planes would pull out of the descent. I can't help but see an analogy to what we are seeing in the stock market. • In March the stock market made its vertical ascent in a massive short covering rally. • April was still up but with less intensity. • In May the ascent slowed considerably. • And here in June, the market seems to be stalling out. We see this loss of upward thrust in a deterioration of upward momentum, which shows up as negative divergence. The Market is losing momentum … For example, we see the loss of momentum in the McClellan Oscillator.  The big thrust was in March, but as you can see each oscillation has been with less and less intensity. This loss of momentum is also showing up in the McClellan Summation Index too, as investors grow more concerned about rising crude oil prices and soaring mortgage rates. These pressures are growth killers. You can see the plane stalling here! The Fed has a decision to make (they know they're in trouble) They run the risk of a double dip recession if they allow crude oil prices to keep soaring and mortgage rates to climb. The Fed has wanted a higher stock market to drive up bank stocks to raise capital so they have manufactured spin that the economy will see a robust recovery just around the corner. The consequence of this has undercut the US dollar, forcing investors to scramble out of the bond market in mass as no one wants to own bonds just before inflation takes off. Bonds are the worst investment to own in a rising inflationary environment as the dollar plunges. The Fed has to decide which is more important. Continue to crash the dollar or really support it in order to rein in a crashing bond market and soaring crude oil prices. Is the short term more important than the long term? Politically it is suicide if they allow mortgage rates and crude oil prices to keep climbing. It is time to back off. Remember who owns government bonds. Scare China away and you've got a big, big problem. The head of China's second-largest bank has said the United States government should start issuing bonds in Yuan, rather than dollars, so this tells you the Chinese are growing very alarmed of policies that support a crashing dollar. The Fed can't allow crude oil prices to climb to $80+ and gold to go over $1,000 without paying a very dear price. As you can see the dollar is finding support at these levels. My sense of what is happening is that the Fed must now defend the dollar, bring down crude oil, support the bond market but at a cost to the commodity driven stock market. The longer they wait, the more damaging to the economy offsetting their fiscal initiatives. We are at a very important crossroads. Remain defensive. Get a FREE PREVIEW of the investing service Peter Brimlowe of MarketWatch reports "was one of the few letters to make money during the Crash of 2008" These are critical times so I'm going to do something I've never done before. I'm giving away TWO trial subscriptions to help you protect and grow your wealth. I'll give you a FREE 30-DAY SUBSCRIPTION my Stealth Stocks investment letter PLUS a FREE 60-DAY SUBSCRIPTION to my Stealth Stocks Daily Alert investing service where I keep you up to date every day on what the market is actually doing from a technical perspective which means you don't have to guess what the market will do. 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