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Friday Market Wrapup - December 1, 2008: Forced Hands

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December 1, 2008

Forced Hands

By Benjamin Shepherd

Despite a steady flow of weak economic data, equity markets turned out a strong performance, with last week being the best for the S&P 500 since 1974. But November was still a down month overall, with all three indexes posting losses. 

The S&P 500 finished last week up 12 percent, though it was down 7.4 percent on the month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 9.7 percent over the holiday-shortened week but lost 5.3 percent in November. And the Nasdaq Composite rose 11 percent for the week but shed 10.8 percent for the month. 

Last Tuesday, the Federal Reserve announced plans to buy more than half a trillion dollars of mortgage debt. The Fed will purchase up to $500 billion in mortgage-backed securities and $100 billion in direct debt of Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE), as well as in Federal Home Loan Banks 

The goal is to encourage lending and to keep rates low, and the plan seems to be having the desired effect. First thing Tuesday morning the average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was almost 6.4 percent, but within hours it had fallen to an average of 5.5 percent. That was the biggest one-day drop in rates in seven years. 

That will do little good for distressed homeowners hoping to refinance their way out of trouble, though plunging home values over the past year have left many with loan-to-value ratios too high to qualify for refinancing. Still, it will encourage qualified borrowers to refinance, freeing up more cash for other spending, and should help bring more buyers into the market. 

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The other bit of news which helped spur last weeks performance was the bailout of Citigroup (NYSE: C) The irony of the situation is that US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson sparked the very action he’d hoped to avoid.

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Friday Market Wrapup is a weekly e-zine written by Ben Shepherd and published by KCI Communications, Inc. Mr. Shepherd is research editor for Personal Finance.


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