Kaeppel's Corner: When Sideways Is Swell

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Market Insight: Weekly News for Options Traders - 08/28/2008 MARKET UPDATES In This Newsletter: FEATURED ARTICLE:   Kaeppel's Corner: When Sideways Is Swell LATEST EARNINGS LISTINGS:  WAG, PCYG and many more FONTANILLS' 5 MINUTE SUCCESS FORMULA NEW CBOE LISTINGS Was this e-mail forwarded to you? Become a subscriber to our FREE newsletter. ADVERTISEMENT Named by SmartMoney as the #1 discount broker for 2006 based on Commissions/Fees; Customer Service; Mutual Funds; Trading Tools; Research; Banking Amenities (August 2006 issue). Get free, cutting-edge option trading tools like the P&L Calculator and the Probability Calculator. No minimums. No catches. Click here to find out more Go to top Kaeppel's Corner: When Sideways Is Swell When you strip it all down, this trading thing is really pretty straightforward. For any tradable security or commodity or currency or whatever, price goes up, price goes down or price goes sideways. Simple. Oh sure, trying to decide where its going next can be a little tricky at times, but still, you are ultimately dealing with just three possibilities. So if you had a three-headed coin you would have a one in three chance of being right at any given point in time. Unfortunately, three-headed coins are tough to come by, thus this whole "prediction thing" remains a bit of a puzzle. Nevertheless, there are ways to improve your odds. One trick is simply to recognize the fact that after price has moved sideways for an extended period of time, the likelihood that one of the other two possibilities is in the offing rises significantly. As a result, we reduce the most likely next event from three possibilities to just two. Click here to continue reading... Jay Kaeppel, Optionetics.com Staff Writer and Trading Strategist Optionetics.com ~ Your Options Education Site Go to top 5 MINUTE SUCCESS FORMULA Using George Fontanills' 5 Minute Success Formula, you can easily find the exceptional stocks that are prime for large moves. For more information on how to find these stocks using the Optionetics.com Website please click here. Stocks ranked by both bullish and bearish price change in 3 trading day(s) Click a stock symbol to get the chart Stock Thurs Close Mon Close Change (%) Stock Volume ALO  news 24.04 36.00 49.75 1710642 Go to top EARNINGS LISTINGS 9/29/2008 -  10/3/2008 Earnings reports have a tendency to move stock prices violently either up or down. If one times the purchase to coincide with a period of low volatility before the announcement and then sells right after the announcement, one has a better than average chance to make a profitable trade. This is an excellent set up for straddles. Monday, September 29, 2008 Symbol Company Name EPSEstimate More Info WAG Walgreen Co 0.46 Quote, Chart PCYG Park City Group Inc -0.13 Quote, Chart THO Thor Inds Inc 0.30 Quote, Chart MAR Marriott Intl Inc New 0.32 Quote, Chart SMOD Smart Modular Technologies Inc 0.06 Quote, Chart AYI Acuity Brands Inc 1.08 Quote, Chart ISCA International Speedway Corp 0.71 Quote, Chart HMX Hartmarx Corp 0.02 Quote, Chart EMMS Emmis Communications Corp 0.00 Quote, Chart WWW Wolverine World Wide Inc 0.60 Quote, Chart Click here for a full list of earnings Tuesday, September 30, 2008 Symbol Company Name EPSEstimate More Info JBL Jabil Circuit Inc 0.32 Quote, Chart Click here for a full list of earnings Wednesday, October 01, 2008 Symbol Company Name EPSEstimate More Info ATU Actuant Corp 0.54 Quote, Chart Click here for a full list of earnings Thursday, October 02, 2008 Symbol Company Name EPSEstimate More Info No earnings are available for this day Friday, October 03, 2008 Symbol Company Name EPSEstimate More Info FDO Family Dlr Stores Inc 0.33 Quote, Chart MOS Mosaic Co 2.91 Quote, Chart Click here for a full list of earnings Go to top RECOMMENDED TRADING PRODUCT Wealth Without Worry "When was the last time you made $30,000 in less than 30 days?" Learn More Go to top NEW CBOE LISTINGS No new listings Go to top Indexes & Quotes DOW 11,627.74 125.23 S&P 500 1,288.99 7.33 NASDAQ 2,397.13 14.67 VIX 19.57 -0.19 Highest % Price Increase for Puts Option Symbol Closing Price Change   TLBIV 1.25 0.90 CEOIM 3.10 2.20 CEOIL 4.85 3.10 NULIE 1.20 0.75 FROIL 1.45 0.90 Highest % Price Increase for Calls Option Symbol Closing Price Change   AQMUD 1.85 1.62 AQMUX 3.10 2.67 AQMUE 4.90 4.03 AQMVW 1.35 1.10 AQMVD 2.33 1.73 ADVERTISEMENT TELL A FRIEND Know a friend or colleague who might like our newsletter? Forward our newsletter to them! FREE 2-HOUR WORKSHOP Are you ready to take charge of your financial future? Get going today with a FREE 2-hour Optionetics Workshop! 2008 Workshops Aug 31-Sep 3, Dallas, TX Aug 31-Sep 3, Houston, TX Aug 31-Sep 3, Spokane, WA Sep 7-10, Raleigh, NC Sep 8-10, Minneapolis, MN Sep 8-10, Portland, OR Sep 15-17, Milwaukee, WI Sep 15-17, San Diego, CA Sep 15-18, Los Angeles, CA Sep 21-23, Ft. 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